Quantifying the sensitivity of post-glacial sea level changes to mantle viscosity and ice sheet history

Date & time

11am–12pm 12 July 2017

Location

Building 61, Jaeger 7, Rm 224, Hales Seminar Room

Speakers

Dr David Al-Attar (University of Cambridge)

Event series

Contacts

 Sebastien Allgeyer

Recent advances in mantle convection modeling led to the release of a new generation of convection codes, able to generate self-consistently plate-like tectonics at their surface. Those models physically link mantle dynamics to surface tectonics. By combining these models with plate tectonic reconstructions, it is possible to estimate the structure and evolution of the temperature field of the mantle. So far, the assimilation of plate tectonic reconstructions was done by imposing specific boundary conditions in the model (force balance, imposed velocities...). These techniques, although insightful to test the likeliness of alternative tectonic scenarios, do not allow the full expression of the dynamical feedback between mantle convection and surface tectonics.  We developed sequential data assimilation techniques able to assimilate plate tectonics reconstructions in a numerical model while simultaneously letting this dynamical feedback develop self-consistently. These techniques also take into account errors in plate tectonics reconstructions, and compute the error on the final estimation of mantle circulation.  To validate these techniques, we resort to synthetic experiments. First, we compute a reference evolution of a convective system, then synthetic observations are extracted from this evolution. Finally we apply the data assimilation algorithm to the series of synthetic observations, in order to reconstruct the reference evolution. I will present the results of these synthetic experiments and discuss the future applications of the data assimilation techniques we developed.

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